Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (52.6%).
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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