Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 9, 2026

Updated Jan 10, 2026 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Portland is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Trail Blazers are playing at home (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on three-pointers (4th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Rockets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

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