Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 7, 2026

Updated Jan 8, 2026 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-101/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Portland is a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Portland Trail Blazers are at home (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.6%).
The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).

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