Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 1, 2026

Updated Jan 2, 2026 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the league with 16.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 14.6 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
The least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nets).

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