Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 29, 2025

Updated Dec 30, 2025 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-144/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

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