Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 6, 2025

Updated Dec 7, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise plays for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the league with 16.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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