Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 0.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, making this a hard matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

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