Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 26, 2025

Updated Nov 27, 2025 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+102/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, struggling to draw fouls.

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