Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets · Nov 24, 2025

Updated Nov 25, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Phoenix Suns are at home (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Rockets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 29.1% on three-pointers (3rd-worst in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Suns have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Rockets.

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