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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/21/2025

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+101/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 16.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
  • This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup.
  • The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Houston Rockets.

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