Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 14, 2025

Updated Nov 15, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-103/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Trail Blazers).
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 29.6% on 3-pointers (4th-worst in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a challenging matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The matchup against Portland may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

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