Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 12, 2025

Updated Nov 13, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Wizards is a strong one; they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (18.6).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Wizards may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.

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