Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Nov 9, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 three-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

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