Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Nov 5, 2025

Updated Nov 6, 2025 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-119/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season when it comes to treys.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a difficult matchup.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (retaining possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).

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