Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 3, 2025

Updated Nov 3, 2025 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+101/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, creating a favorable matchup.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Dallas may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season with respect to treys.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

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