Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 21, 2025 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 45.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court.
Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 30.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point shots, the Rockets's subpar 35.0% rate of drained threes as the home team rates 6th-weakest in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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