Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.1 minutes per game this year.
The 7th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In terms of treys, the Rockets's poor 34.8% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

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