Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 50.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 6.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.1 minutes per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.

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