Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 26, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 53.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 16.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Hawks).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 44.9% field goal percentage playing at home rates 5th-worst in the league this year.
The 8th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.

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