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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has made 3.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted overall this year while playing on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game this year.
  • In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 34.5% rate of converted threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
  • The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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