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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.
  • The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has failed to convert 1.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's missed over the course of the season.

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