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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has played 30.7 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on the road.

The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).

As it relates to three-point shots, the Rockets's poor 12.2 made threes per game rates 4th-weakest in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.3% on field goal attempts (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a hard matchup.

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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