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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-107/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game playing at home this year.
  • The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Rockets will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
  • The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off the mark shots, totaling an enormous 5.4 per game this year.
  • The Rockets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home.
  • The matchup vs. the Spurs is a tough one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).

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