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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2025

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Rockets have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Rockets will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
  • The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
  • Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have scored 15.1 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Bucks, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
  • The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

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