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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 4.8 per game this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Minnesota may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home (6th-most in the league).

Jabari Smith Jr. should get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shooting, the Rockets's subpar 103.6 points per game while at home rates 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace away team in the league this year (the Timberwolves).

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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