Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 43.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The 6th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Rockets's unimpressive 44.3% field goal percentage measures as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Houston Rockets.

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