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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 47.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
  • The matchup vs. Charlotte is a strong one for field goals; when the Hornets are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have averaged the most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (8.7).
  • The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (80th percentile).
  • In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's subpar 106.2 points per game as the away team comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hornets).
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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