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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 47.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.

In terms of shooting, the Houston Rockets's poor 44.0% field goal rate ranks 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.3% on shot attempts from the field (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The Thunder have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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