Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 26.8% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.
As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's subpar 44.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Rockets.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves are playing at home (9th-least in the league).

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