Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.9 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 45.2% mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s scoring prowess has been reduced this season to 39.7%.
In contrast to last season's 36.4% clip, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point ability has tailed off this season to 22.7%.
In terms of offense, the Rockets's subpar 105.6 points per game while playing away from home ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.5).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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