Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Pistons, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made a measly 21.5% of his three-point attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 36.4 rate last season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile).
With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 106.8 points per game away from home places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Pistons, resulting in a hard matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

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