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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2024

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-132/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 11.5 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.5 three-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 31.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 24 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (4th-most in the league) against the Spurs, easily managing to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
  • The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one; they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).
  • The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
  • The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

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