Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from three overall this season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% more than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The number of threes attempted against Wendell Carter Jr. has been very low (1.0 per game) when away from his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

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