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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season.

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile.

The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (91st percentile).

The Rockets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a hard one for 3-pointers; when Gafford is at home and defending other starting Cs this year, they have made just 24.0% of their three-pointers (10th percentile).

Jabari Smith Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player production across the board.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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