Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 54.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.0% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Draymond Green has been very high (2.5 per game) when on the visiting team and defending other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's feeble 42.7% field goal percentage comes in as the fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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