Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Apr 1, 2024 2:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 52.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 5.6% more than he's converted overall this season while at home.
Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 1.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.3 minutes per game at home this year.
The number of points compiled against Daniel Gafford has been very high (16.1 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 46.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.

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