Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 10.7 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 4.7 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The number of points compiled against John Collins has been very high (15.7 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from downtown, the Rockets's subpar 33.1% rate of converted threes while on the road comes in as the lowest in the league this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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