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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).

The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (90th percentile).

The Rockets check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have put up the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (29.1%).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has snagged 11.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (maintaining possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. ought to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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