Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 10.5 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on shots from the field (28th-best in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Rockets rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing clubs have snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks (continuing possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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