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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 10.5 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.4 minutes per game this year.

The Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 22nd percentile for 3-point proficiency away from home with a a subpar 25.0% rate this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).

In terms of shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 111.6 points per game while on the road ranks 9th-fewest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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