Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 13.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 77th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 5.4 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a good matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Rockets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

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