Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 6:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have snagged 8.4 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 22.2 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the league).

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's feeble 112.0 points per game when playing away from home rates 9th-lowest in the league this year.
This matchup is a good one for 3-point shots; their opposition has tallied the 7th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (13.7).
The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

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