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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 76th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a an outstanding 38.5% rate this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The matchup against Miami is a good one for three-point shots; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%).

The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).

With respect to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.5 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA this year.

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA).

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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