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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 3.4 mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s off-target three-pointers have diminished this season to 2.7 per game.

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 120.9 points per game ranks 8th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 8th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.

While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Rockets.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 10thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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