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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
  • Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 7.5 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rockets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a hard matchup.
  • The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
  • This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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