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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 7.5 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rockets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a hard matchup.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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