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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 63.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made from three overall this year while at home.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.
  • With respect to treys, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 38.9% rate of converted threes while playing at home rates 8th-best in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup.
  • The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while at home this year.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 25 games, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

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