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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 11.4 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 11.7 mark last year.

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.0 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.9 minutes per game on his home court this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Houston Rockets's exceptional 47.9% field goal percentage on their home court comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 4.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.8 fouls per game last year.

Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have notched 13.7 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive productivity.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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