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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 11.8 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 11.7 mark last season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has converted a whopping 37.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 28.1 rate last year.
  • The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.4).
  • The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 2.0 foul shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.5 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 2.8 mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s personal fouls per game have risen this season to 4.6.
  • The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
  • On the road, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production across the board.

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