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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 40.9% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s scoring performance has jumped this year to 49.3%.

Relative to last year's 27.6% mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s three-point proficiency has jumped this year to 44.2%.

As it relates to treys, the Rockets's remarkable 37.9% rate of drained threes places 10th-most in the league this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 2.1 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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