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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 93rd percentile for threes converted, averaging 2.8 per game this year.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • This matchup is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Los Angeles Lakers are playing at home, opposing teams have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA since the start of last season (34.5%).
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.1).
  • The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.5 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • With respect to offense, the Rockets's poor 110.7 points per game while playing away from home rates 3rd-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
  • While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 25.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.5% lower than he's converted over the course of the year on his home court.

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